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Charlotte Hornets vs. Golden State Warriors Preview (3/3/25)

Writer: Alistair GreyAlistair Grey



Charlotte Hornets Stats: W-L: 14-45, Win%: .237, PS/G: 105.2, PA/G: 112.8, SRS: -8.01, BAC Probability: 18%


Golden State Warriors Stats: W-L: 32-28, Win%: .533, PS/G: 113.0, PA/G: 111.4, SRS: 2.27, BAC Probability: 87%


BAC Pick: Golden State Warriors : Gravity-Weighted Outcome


League Pass Rating: Tactical Contest


Why Watch?: If you're a fan of the team, this one's for you, otherwise there are some more exciting games on the docket tonight.


As the Charlotte Hornets gear up to face off against the Golden State Warriors, it’s hard not to feel the weight of the season pressing down on them. With a disheartening 14-45 record, the Hornets are stuck in the depths of the Eastern Conference, while the Warriors stand a respectable 32-28, vying for playoff positioning in the Western Conference. This matchup carries with it more than just pride; it’s a clash between a team looking to find its footing and another hoping to solidify its playoff hopes as the season creeps towards its conclusion.


A glaring storyline is the absence of key players for Charlotte. Miles Bridges, who has been a notable contributor with nearly 20 points and 7.7 rebounds per game, is on the injury report alongside fellow Hornets like Brandon Miller and Seth Curry. With their offensive output dwindled, the Hornets are averaging just 105.2 points per game—placing them among the lowest in the league. In their last outing, they fell to the Washington Wizards with a 100-113 scoreline, and with such a recent trend of losses, spirits may be low.


In contrast, the Warriors, despite a recent hiccup against the Philadelphia 76ers, have shown resilience. Their offense scores an average of 113 points per game, led by Stephen Curry’s 24.1 points and 6.2 assists. Curry's ability to create his own shot and distribute the ball means that the Warriors can adapt their approach, a versatility that the Hornets will struggle to counter, especially without significant offensive threats like Bridges.


Defensively, the Hornets have had a tough time as well, allowing 112.8 points per game. That’s an area where the Warriors can capitalize, as Golden State is slightly better at keeping opponents to 111.4 points per game. For both teams, the past three games paint a telling picture; while the Warriors managed to score a solid 121 points against Orlando, the Hornets’ last three games saw them struggle to break the 100-point barrier.


As the clock ticks down on the season, the stakes are high for both teams, albeit in different ways. The Warriors are eyeing a solid playoff run, while the Hornets are looking to build a foundation for the future—a task made significantly harder with key injuries and a lack of recent success. It’s hard not to see the Warriors as the favorites in this matchup. They boast a potent offensive attack and a well-rounded game plan, while the Hornets will need to dig deep to find any semblance of cohesiveness without their key players.


In conclusion, while the Hornets may have moments of brilliance, especially from players like LaMelo Ball, the Warriors’ combination of experience and talent should carry them to victory. Expect to see a tactical contest, but one that will likely tip in favor of the Warriors, who are pushing toward the playoffs.


Injury Report: - Charlotte Hornets: Miles Bridges, Seth Curry, Brandon Miller - Golden State Warriors: Jimmy Butler, Jonathan Kuminga

 

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